Electric Car, Drive Thyself: How Autonomous Systems and Plug-in Vehicles Will Converge

June 08, 2015 | State of the Market Report

To date, few automakers are focusing on autonomous electric vehicles – but momentum is building. Automakers are beginning to combine two parallel approaches to automotive innovation, in driver assist and in plug-in vehicles – to make autonomous electric vehicles – but the benefits of doing so remain unclear to many. Our analysis finds that: Self-parking plug-ins are coming soon, reaching 440,000 units in 2020, led by the likes of Tesla and BMW. Autonomous features will enable $1,800 in battery cost savings for long-range EVs, or bring 24 miles of added range. Partial and full autonomy will lead to $2.5 billion more battery sales in 2030.

Coverage Areas

  • Autonomous Systems 2.0
  • Digital Transformation
  • Energy Storage
  • Owning the Energy Transition
  • The Future of Mobility

Table of Contents

  • Title page
  • Landscape
  • The future of transportation is gradually becoming more autonomous and more electric
  • Tesla case study: Long-range, expensive, pure electric vehicles
  • Autonomy needs low-speed, low-stakes, lightly regulated environments to test increasing assist levels
  • The three key use cases for autonomous plug-insAnalysis: Self-parking and wireless charging
  • To forecast EV self-parking, we model autonomous and electric technology readiness and deployment
  • Drivers can vary dramatically in how efficiently they pilot their vehicles
  • Increased levels of autonomy will likely require extra batteries inside the car for safety and redundancy
  • For inner cities, cars will not just be electric and autonomous, but also different in shape and size

Lead Analysts

Cosmin Laslau, Ph.D.
Director, Research Products
+1 (857) 284-5699
Maryanna Saenko
Analyst

Contributors

Kevin See, Ph.D.

About Lux Research

Lux Research is a leading provider of tech-enabled research and advisory solutions, helping clients drive growth through technology innovation. A pioneer in the research industry, Lux uniquely combines technical expertise and business insights with a proprietary intelligence platform, using advanced analytics and data science to surface true leading indicators. With quality data derived from primary research, fact-based analysis, and opinions that challenge traditional thinking, Lux clients are empowered to make more informed decisions today to ensure future success.

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