Electric Car, Drive Thyself: How Autonomous Systems and Plug-in Vehicles Will Converge

June 8, 2015 | State of the Market Report

To date, few automakers are focusing on autonomous electric vehicles – but momentum is building. Automakers are beginning to combine two parallel approaches to automotive innovation, in driver assist and in plug-in vehicles – to make autonomous electric vehicles – but the benefits of doing so remain unclear to many. Our analysis finds that: Self-parking plug-ins are coming soon, reaching 440,000 units in 2020, led by the likes of Tesla and BMW. Autonomous features will enable $1,800 in battery cost savings for long-range EVs, or bring 24 miles of added range. Partial and full autonomy will lead to $2.5 billion more battery sales in 2030.

Coverage Areas

  • Autonomous Systems 2.0
  • Digital Transformation
  • Energy Storage
  • Owning the Energy Transition

Table of Contents

  • Title page
  • Landscape
  • The future of transportation is gradually becoming more autonomous and more electric
  • Tesla case study: Long-range, expensive, pure electric vehicles
  • Autonomy needs low-speed, low-stakes, lightly regulated environments to test increasing assist levels
  • The three key use cases for autonomous plug-insAnalysis: Self-parking and wireless charging
  • To forecast EV self-parking, we model autonomous and electric technology readiness and deployment
  • Drivers can vary dramatically in how efficiently they pilot their vehicles
  • Increased levels of autonomy will likely require extra batteries inside the car for safety and redundancy
  • For inner cities, cars will not just be electric and autonomous, but also different in shape and size

Lead Analysts

Cosmin Laslau, Ph.D.
Director, Research Products
Maryanna Saenko
Analyst

Contributors

Kevin See, Ph.D.

About Lux Research

Lux Research is a leading provider of tech-enabled research and advisory solutions, helping clients drive growth through technology innovation. A pioneer in the research industry, Lux uniquely combines technical expertise and business insights with a proprietary intelligence platform, using advanced analytics and data science to surface true leading indicators. With quality data derived from primary research, fact-based analysis, and opinions that challenge traditional thinking, Lux clients are empowered to make more informed decisions today to ensure future success.

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