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Our EV Inflection Tracker analyzes how compelling automakers’ plug-in offerings are, as a leading indicator of when EVs will be positioned to take over the automotive market. In this 2016 edition, the automotive industry earns an overall failing grade of 27/100, with the only high-point coming from the luxury car segment. There is some progress that automakers are making in small and large cars, but they fail in the all-important SUV and pickup truck markets. In addition to specific analysis for what to watch in each segment, along with a quadrant analysis of driving range and affordability, we also qualitatively estimate that the “EV Inflection Point”, capturing more than 50% of new car sales, is in the 2035-2040 timeframe.
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