Thanks to German indecision on subsidies, the solar market has boomed in 2010 as installers rushed to get projects in the ground to lock in high rates. While this turnaround has stabilized module pricing for the time being, manufacturers cannot deny that the direction is down, and they have prepared for that future trench war of scale. Meanwhile, the explosion of installations has opened the door for inverter players to focus on performance improvements and novel architectures without the crippling pressure of price declines facing the broader PV industry. To identify winners and losers in the current environment and into the future, we applied the Lux Innovation Grid to anlyze module manufacturers in crystalline silicon (x-Si), thin-film silicon (TF-Si), cadmium telluride (CdTe), copper indium gallium diselenide (CIGS), and concentrated photovoltaics (CPV) as well as inverter players focusing on the residential, commerical, and utility markets.
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